Understanding Need, Risk and Excitement

2024-09-16

Limits of Prediction

2024-08-11

Complexity, Intelligence and Anti-Fragility

2024-06-13

Sampling Reality

2024-05-20

Shareholder Value

2024-05-06

The problem with AI will not be IQ, it will be immortality

2024-04-07

Untangling Luck and Skill in Business

2024-03-27

Many small bets with outlier potential

2024-01-14

Let's start a VC fund and make money!

2024-01-02

Should you raise VC money?

2023-12-17

Building a world-class team

2023-09-19

Learning World Models for Robust AI

2023-07-27

Why I am excited about AI

2023-06-08

Anthropocentrism, Alignment, and Personalization

2023-04-25

Artificial Intelligence, Scaling Laws, S-curves, Tail Risk and Practicalities

2023-04-06

The Probability Of Near-Term AGI-Like Systems

2023-03-26

Breakthroughness and The Virtuous Cycle

2023-02-27

Building Extremely Valuable Companies

2023-01-09

Reflections on Life and Entrepreneurship

2023-01-04

Relationships and Uncommon Sense in a time of AI

2023-01-02

Extraordinary Success Requires Betting

2022-07-30

The State of Machine Learning in 2022 - Next steps?

2022-05-12

The State of Machine Learning in 2022

2022-04-18

The energy to keep going

2022-04-09

Risk and reward when turning tech into business

2021-11-07

Learning to be an Optimist

2021-07-15

How do you run a company when you have no idea what to expect?

2021-01-12

Commercial Ikigai

2020-06-20

Believe in something

2019-12-27

When will we have Autonomous Vehicles?

2019-10-18

Algorithms are Unable to Question Data

2018-01-17

The Importance of Annotated Data in NLP

2016-09-10