Writings

• Understanding Need, Risk and Excitement (2024-09-16)
• Limits of Prediction (2024-08-11)
• Complexity, Intelligence and Anti-Fragility (2024-06-13)
• Sampling Reality (2024-05-20)
• Shareholder Value (2024-05-06)
• The problem with AI will not be IQ, it will be immortality (2024-04-07)
• Untangling Luck and Skill in Business (2024-03-27)
• Many small bets with outlier potential (2024-01-14)
• Let's start a VC fund and make money! (2024-01-02)
• Should you raise VC money? (2023-12-17)
• Building a world-class team (2023-09-19)
• Learning World Models for Robust AI (2023-07-27)
• Why I am excited about.astro AI (2023-06-08)
• Anthropocentrism, Alignment, and Personalization (2023-04-25)
• Artificial Intelligence and Scaling Laws (2023-04-06)
• The Probability Of Near-Term AGI-Like Systems (2023-03-26)
• Breakthroughness and The Virtuous Cycle (2023-02-27)
• Building Extremely Valuable Companies (2023-01-09)
• Reflections on Life and Entrepreneurship (2023-01-04)
• Relationships and Uncommon Sense in a time of AI (2023-01-02)
• Extraordinary Success Requires Betting (2022-07-30)
• The State of Machine Learning in 2022 - Next steps? (2022-05-12)
• The State of Machine Learning in 2022 (2022-04-18)
• The energy to keep going (2022-04-09)
• Risk and reward when turning tech into business (2021-11-07)
• Learning to be an Optimist (2021-07-15)
• Management Under Uncertainty (2021-01-12)
• Commercial Ikigai (2020-06-20)
• Believe in something (2019-12-27)
• When will we have Autonomous Vehicles? (2019-10-18)
• Algorithms are Unable to Question Data (2018-01-17)
• The Importance of Annotated Data in NLP (2016-09-10)